Gregory Lightyear ([info]lightyear) wrote,
@ 2003-03-18 10:39:00
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By the pricking of my thumb...
I know that as a man who was once a military man (Navy), and one who took part in the command and control centers of one of the naval fleet which orchestrated much of the attacks during the first Gulf war, my ex-boyfriend has a very different set of opinions on this than myself. Historically, we've almost never seen eye to eye on the use of military force, and I've never been a proponent of supporting the political leadership just because they happen to be using military force and military men might feel bad if I don't.

As a matter of fact, now that I think of it, I seem to have a strange habit of picking up boyfriends who are distinctly more right wing than my socialist-leaning self. Hmm.

Anyways, I've been written with a note which basically makes fun of the U.N.'s Britney Spears impression (Oops I did it again / Hit me baby one more time) when it comes to the last 17 resolutions on Iraq.

So here's a bit of my point of view; while not the whole truth, it's the part of the truth I find most compelling, that part of the truth which most strongly shapes my opinions on what seems to be an inevitable war:


Bitch all you like about Saddam. After all, :

  • America put him in power.
  • The U.S. supported his terrorist regime with CIA training to get him into power in the first place.
  • Britain built his chemical factories.
  • America sold him the anthrax facilities and chemicals.
  • America then screwed the only revolt previously attempted in Iraq against Saddam and left those Kurds to be slaughtered by Saddam, thereby implicating themselves in their deaths; Americas hands, having blood on them from having put him in power, then gained blood on their hands from having kept him there. American politicians have some of the responsibility for the gassing of those Kurds. It's not as if they didn't know he was a madman, they paid for his CIA training, remember?
  • Britain and America knew at the time of this revolt of both his posession of WMD and his willingness to use them.
  • Germany then sold him parts for a big gun to shell Israel with.
  • Britain gave loan after loan to the Iraqi regime during Thatcher's period in power, driven by BAE Systems and other UK military companies.
  • The reason that 15,000 page document became 2,000 pages when it ended up in the hands of anyone who wasn't the main 5 members in the council is because the names of the companies who equipped him were listed an implicated there.
  • The reason that this was old news is because the U.S., U.K., French, and German governments were required to grant their permission on those sales before those sales could take place.
  • The power of the military lobby, at the time, was strong enough to lobby those things through, thereby continuing to prove that Western governments are rife with the kind of moral and political corruption that get us sponsored as Terrorist targets in the first place, and that we need to go through some serious restructuring of our political systems to end that kind of lobbying.
  • No evidence that the 'big gun' ever worked exists. Lots of evidence it failed was found.
  • The U.S. and U.K. made what the nuclear inspectors called "childlike mistakes" in their accusations of Saddam having obtained nuclear materials from Africa
  • The U.K. lifted the majority of it's big intelligence report from a student, directly plagarizing most of the material. Many of the claims which didn't come from the lifted text have afterwards been proven false (the obtaining of nuclear materials) or no evidence has been found (U.N. inspections of the locations named in the report).


There's no denying he's a dangerous man. That's why none of the Middle East countries, surrounding this country that the U.S. and U.K. have decided they want to attack, actually support the war. And just about all of those who are allowing them to use their soil or airspace regardless of their lack of support are doing so for financial reasons.

E. and I have never seen eye-to-eye politically; and I guess I don't expect us to start doing so now. I was young - I was what, 21, and he was 31? There were ten years of difference, and ten years of life experience I didn't have; and yet I know I would have felt then exactly as I felt now, as I remember distinctly sitting paralytic in front of the television watching the previoustime we shelled Baghdad. I've never been a Patriot, and I've had but fleeting moments of feeling any particular love towards America; I was pretty sure I'd seen the worst that America could dish out when I was growing up. I'm not especially pleased to be living under the shadow of it darkening my skies once more' I thought I had left that behind when I left it. American nationalism has never been a force for good in the world - it lend-leased Britain during World War II into financial disaster and delayed entrance to the war until the last possible moment; it saved Europe from the German empire at the cost of the British one, and became the world's largest superpower on the backs of third world manufacturing and a mass media that's so tightly integrated into society that nobody seems to notice that the great majority of your media is run by either News Corporation or Hearst. America is a perfect example of a market-driven morality; the American media the perfectly shaped blinders that allow that market-driven reality to steamroll much of the world. And I honestly believe that America has probably done more damage in the last four months than fifty years of funding the U.N. will have done good - and like Germany today, should things go desperately wrong, it will spend another fifty years atoneing for the sins of their politicians.

The French have some pretty strange opinions (l'exception francaise, for starters); I know, I lived there for two years in Paris, and learned the language. The French have been responsible for more dodgy politics in Africa than you can shake a stick at, and have one of the most corrupt political systems in Europe at the local and regional, if not federal level. And for most of the misgivings of the French - much of which American media pays little attention to, or for that matter the British media - they've made an honest point and an honest stand. France is not in a position to argue with the 80% of its population who do not want war. Neither is Germany. Neither is the U.K., frankly, though it seems that we're close enough to the U.S. financially that our markets practically demand it now.

To pretend that the issue is anywhere near that easy to simplify is preposterous - I've seen world diplomacy at work, in person, and I can tell you that they're nowhere near that frivolous or stupid; the French position was made perfectly clear with the first signing, which the U.S. barely got its 'unanimous' decision on, that they could not condone the path to war, and that an additional resolution would be required. To say anything other than that took place is both political spin and a bald-faced outright lie - and if you don't believe me, go back and read the transcripts of the last UN meeting before the signing. The French haven't changed their position on this in four months now, and the U.S. and U.K. seem to be pretending that France has pulled a last-minute veto out of a hat like a drug-addled Merlin. They haven't. Their position has never changed. And frankly, it is no surprise that a country with close political and popular ties to Algeria, a current hot-spot of *real* al-Qaeda terrorist cells, and other troubled African nations, whose modern population is closely linked both in language and nationality, is unwilling to agree to that war knowing that the problems it would create with its modern population would be rife with difficulty and stir a hornet's nest. In the eyes of the French, this war is wholly unrelated to the real and important fight against terrorism, a fight which is more real to France today than to America. To them, this war is political and real suicide - and they made that clear in November, before and during the signing of 1441.

The fact is, Bush and Blair have not won support of the majority of the members of the council or their member nations, the majority of the European population doesn't support a war, the majority of the Middle Eastern governments don't support a war, and the majority of the Middle Eastern nations, save Israel, are made up of a population of people who don't like the U.S. or Western ideology.

The U.S. and the U.K. lost their gambit. But the dangerous man in power in Washington, who didn't want to go to the U.N. in the first place, doesn't give a flying fuck what the other nations happen to think. And so Rumsfeld gets his war.

To call this war anything but a dangerous unravelling of the power structures that ensure peace in the modern world is folly. The U.N. was not created as a puppet organisation for the U.S.; it was specifically chartered, after the fall of the League of Nations, and the closure of World War II, for being a venue through which nations could discuss their differences to avoid war. It was meant to be an alternative to war. Not a conduit for committing one.

And to think that I could turn a blind eye to that and pretend that I support military action just to keep the boys in camouflage feeling perky and confident, and thereby offer that support to British and U.K. governments is unthinkable.

During the recent march in London, and the corresponding marches around the world against war in Iraq, the U.S. accused anyone who refused to support the military buildup as supporting Saddam by 'muddying the waters' as to the need of compliance. Now, more than ever, those of us against the war cannot be seen as 'muddying the waters' through declaring support for the men in the military and thereby condoning the unilateral actions of our governments.

For as long as this war goes on, I shall fight for my government (the U.K. government - I am powerless to help or hinder America) to end it. We owe those who will die in this war nothing less than our complete and total committment to have done everything we can to prevent their deaths from taking place. If that means that our military struggles on without our support, so be it - the spin doctors would ensure that any support for the military would be spun into support for the actions of our governments.


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Eric's short response
(Anonymous)
2003-03-18 03:37 am UTC (link)
Forget all the past of who bought what for who and when or where. As a person living in the post 911 world, I don't give a rat's ass if Saddam Hussein was educated in America, was sold every poison and weapon by America, and amy as well be an American living abroad.

The pertient facts remain:

It is clear that weapons of mass destruction are a goal of his.

It is clear he will not comply unless convinced by a show of force.

France would not let us try impressing him with unified force, so that route is dead.

Therefore, we are using force.

There are some pleasent side effects that we should all cherish. The most important one being that the world will have one less established despot, and another democracy may be born.

But ever so much more important is the notion that terrorist regimes WILL NOT BE tolerated in the 21st century because they threaten freedom.

You see, on the old scale of naive American values, such as I possess, freedom is opposed by despots, tyrrants, dictators and individuals wishing to paint the world over with their own stories.

Now, it's true that every story has some truth to it, and some more than others.

But, if there's any story we've seen establish a dominant theme in the last few hundred years, it's the story of Democracy.

Why there are still dictatorships and despots loose upon the face of the earth, co-existing with democracies, is largely a story about a Cold War.

I'm just going to admit that I really like the idea of seeing the clear enemies of democracy and free choice removed, by force as always seems ncessary, because I had the shit beat out of bullies as a child, and just don't take kindly to this kind of crap. Now, if I appear too American, and thus appear the bully for thinking so, or appear naive for not particiapting in the sophisticated Continenal arguments, I am entirely unapologetic.

As a pragmatic point, I'd like to see this task accomplished with the minimal costs our militaries are advertising. If the next stop on the list is Iran or Korea, I'm onboard, and will be happy to ship out in the name of increased freedom tomorrow.

So, there you have it, and unabashed and specific joy with the current events!

It's not about America. We're spending all our good will to achieve this. In the end everyone will become even more upset with us, not doubt.

It's about resting assured that a Democractic world is more affordable, less surprising, more secure, less brutishly short and nasty. And in that world, we all benefit.

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Re: Eric's short response
[info]lightyear
2003-03-18 06:41 am UTC (link)
I had to reply to this with another entry. It really annoys me that I can't just write responses of arbitrary length, and am forced to keep chucking stuff into top-level journal entries. Hmm. :(

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[info]keith_london
2003-03-18 04:59 am UTC (link)
I don't doubt the factual nature of what you present here. Having read your arguments, I think I could go along with a "containment" policy (disagreeable as that route can be for the Iraqis) - as a chocie of lesser evil compared to war - if a) we were still caught up in the cold war and b) 9/11 didn't happen, and therefore none of it's implication for American as well as global security

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[info]lightyear
2003-03-18 06:49 am UTC (link)
I'm the opposite - if it weren't for 9/11, I wouldn't be nearly so opposed. But once al'Qaeda's capabilities were unearthed by 9/11, I'm all for taking the diplomatic route to ensure that we reach peace through mutual understanding; enforced peace does not guarantee that those cells won't re-awaken, especially as enforced peace in the Middle East is pretty much the pet peeve for the organisation that sparked off 9/11 in the first place.

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[info]keith_london
2003-03-18 07:27 am UTC (link)
The terrorists will try to do what they wish to do regardless. 9/11 was supposedly also about imposing fundamentalist Islamic values on the World.

"enforced peace in the Middle East is pretty much the pet peeve for the organisation that sparked off 9/11 in the first place - yes , that is always a possible convenient "excuse" for terrorists acts - and I agree we should have a negotiated peace, not an enforce one; but even then, you cannot absolutely please everyone. The threat of terrorism would be reduced I believe, if we could solve that Middle East problem.

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[info]lightyear
2003-03-18 08:05 am UTC (link)
We can say that the terrorists will do what they wish, I guess. I don't find it to be true; behind the faceless name of terrorist is a real person deciding to give up their life for a cause, and there's a psychological state that they've achieved through some means that got them there. They're real people - people we would consider to be deluded within our frames of reference, perhaps, but people nonetheless. They have reasons. And as we've seen with Palestine, it's possible to apply selection pressure, both from within and from outside a culture, to reinforce the creation of those terrorist individuals, groups, and organisations.

Terrorism has a distinct psychology; and just as the Japanese banzai warriors during WWII, a distinct psychology and set of beliefs which enable the individual to perform those suicidal acts.

Only through understanding those triggers and alleviating the social pressures which reinforce those psychological states can we hope to deal with the problem long-term; only through dealing with the root problems that lead to terrorism, as well as actively dealing with those already performing terrorist acts, can we hope to deal with the problem properly.

The problem is, we're not doing that. We're just reinforcing the things that caused the last activation.

The 'Middle East problem' is the problem - it is not one problem. It is Saudi dissidents, monied and powerful; it is Jordan's hardline against Israel, Egypt's pendulum of swings to the left and the right of a highly religiously influenced regime. It is Israel's hold over Palestine and the Palestinian people, and the region's distaste for Israel itself. It is Iran's intransigence, and Iraq's weapons of destruction. It is Mossad's influence, and Israel's nuclear programme.

Removing the weapons of destruction, or even Iraq, will not solve the problems of the middle east; and America stomping on the soverignty of a nation which has a very similar appearance to its neighbors (sans WMD) will do little to encourage those neighbors that their soverignty will be respected. The lack of agreement on the use of force, followed by its use by the select few, will result in a weaker U.N. with which to carry out that diplomacy and a resurgence in the hardliners that create the environment that terrorists flourish in.

Even if we could give Palestine a nation tomorrow, and clean Iraq of its WMD and create a new nation (and what happens if they choose Sharia law???), the problems created by these actions - further interference in the Israeli/Palestine conflict and the destruction of a soverign power - will have added another dynamic to the conflict, disempowering our ability to influence the region through our actions.

I'd love to be wrong - but the behavior of the Arab League, OPEC, and the statements from the individual nations in the region, and the continued problems in Palestine, certainly lead towards that interpretation of events, in my opinion.

Iraq simply isn't enough of an influential target; its only hope is as example - and that kind of example is dangerous.

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Re:
[info]keith_london
2003-03-18 09:02 am UTC (link)
In actual fact I find myself agreeing with you with the vast majority of what you say. I would put a different slant on one or two things though.

The thing with terrorists - they are humans with reasons, and I would agree that to "dehumanise" them (as they temselves perhaps could be guilty of doing when they wreak their terror on their victims)is not the right way. In some ways, if terrorism hasn't become a global threat, then containment might well be the way to try and deal with those areas that are, from the US viewpoint, "not in my own backyard".

I appreciate your point about the scale of the "Middle east" problem, and how we in the West might deal / interact with people with different beliefs and values. I have heard it suggested that Iraq could be seen a some shining example of how tyrants can be put out of business and countries returned to their people. The dynamics of any radical action (such as removal of Saddam) will change no doubt. And that is the scary bit, in my opinion - no one can say for sure what horrible things could happen as a consequence.

Just because we have so many seemingly-intractables in the Middle East shouldn't necessarily mean inaction. If in fact we accept that there is a Middle East "problem" then that problem does beg to be solved. You cannot do it all in one go. But we got to continue the process of solving this, in the light of changineg security threats to the rest of us majority peace-loving people.

The US and its ally have chosen to use force ( post-diplomacy) which is scary. I can only hope they do a good job if war should happen, during and equally importantly, after any war. Iraq could be some sort of catalyst

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[info]lightyear
2003-03-18 11:31 am UTC (link)
I don't see an inspection regime as doing nothing, though; just as nuclear inspections have done in a multitude of other countries, weapons and nuclear inspections can prevent the problem from getting worse. We don't have a right to 'disarm' Saddam; we are empowered to remove illegal biological and nuclear weapons, and the Security Council has restricted his right to have weapons with a reach over a specific distance; but a scud missle, for example, remains legal ordnance for Saddam to have in his arsenal. This is part of the dilemma that diplomacy imposes: restrictions are subject to negotiation, often from governments with a less than stellar track record themselves, and usually by parties with other interests.

That route is better than the indiscriminate death of war. I fear that to 'make an example' of Saddam is to play back into the hands of those who accuse the west of interfering in a region with a historical mode of religion-ingrained governance, one with a history of conflict with the west. I don't know what effect it will have - but if the Saudi government is making noises about it being a bad move, it's probably the tip of the iceberg; all eyes will be on al-Jazeera's reporting to see what kind of effect we can expect. (It's such a pretty language; I wish I could read it.)

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Re:
[info]keith_london
2003-03-19 12:22 am UTC (link)
We tried inspections! It's only a matter of judgement whether these are working. We didn't set out to disarm Saddam, other than under the terms of the ceasefire agreements, which we the world community have every "right" to do! I have been torn myself between the attractive concept that inspections could work and having to use the other "necessary means". The closest we seemed to have reach via world consensus is somewhere less than 120 days, for inspections to be "completed". It's all a horrible game thought - and I cannot believe Saddam will co-operate.

Now why the hell can't Saddam have even 1/10th the anti-war sentiment that most of us in the west have?

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[info]lightyear
2003-03-19 01:33 am UTC (link)
Well, no, not really. We know inspections worked because the inspectors had the evidence in hand of what was destroyed by the Gulf War and what was destroyed by them; they were able to judge, with what they saw as relative accuracy, the capacity of Iraq to further develop these weapons.

Weapons inspections failed because the threat of force had vanished. I totally agree with the need for pressure and the threat of force. I just don't believe we are at a stage where it's appropriate to use that force just yet - not when concessions were still coming, and not when progress was being made.

The closest we got to a close on that resolution were the proposal from the African companies on a 45 day completion window. That would place war in the middle of the summer - and was unpalpable to the Americans, who were hoping something closer to a week.

I do believe that in those 45 days, we could have uncovered enough and destroyed enough to reach the point where we could be comfortable lifting sanctions. Sure, that isn't going to result in the spontaneous creation of a Western democracy - but it's not clear even now that this is what the people of the region would want or expect. Iraq has three very different groups of people living in it; the ruling Ba'ath party, and the Sunni muslims, the Shia muslims in the south and central parts of Iraq, and the Kurds to the north. The Kurds have already said they wanted democracy; the Shia muslims, with a previous failed uprising in what will likely be the first city taken during the war, had already favored a muslim nation governed by Sharia law - a religious, non-democratic construction which will not be palatable to American expectations.

And yet, we're somehow going to do now what we couldn't do in Bosnia-Herzegovina/Serbocroatia - take three different peoples, with a history of oppresion between them, and force them into one national border, in one of the most politically volatile regions on the planet. Now, I'd love to hear it's going to turn out different this time around - and the Arab League will hopefully play a big part in that - but this is not going to turn out to be America's way of getting their fingers into OPEC and the Arab League - there's too much sentiment against them there, and their behavior in Iraq will make or break those relationships.

Inspections offered us a way of proving to the region that western governments weren't based on intervention and the removal of the existing Arab world's power structures, weren't based on free-marketing local cultures to death. Inspections offered us a possible way out, and if that way out could not be identified through inspections, a way of getting the Arab League and the nations of the world to back us on military use of force.

Instead, we've used strong-arm tactics on people with a very long memory of western use of strong-arm tactics at a time when we most need to break from our traditional attitudes towards these nations.

I'm not against war at all costs - I'm against war when war is unilaterally strong-armed into existence. Paying the Turkish government to host troops or provide airspace, strong-arming OPEC into covering for America's failure to negotiate oil, forcing Middle-Eastern governments to open up their bases to launch an attack, stirring hornets nests in North Korea by failing our commitments to them and then thwacking them into an 'axis of evil'... The fallout from these actions fall on 'western government', even if they are carried out by U.S. politicians.

Just because we're democratic doesn't give us the right to ignore the soverign nations in the Middle East. Just because we believe we're doing the right thing doesn't mean we don't need the permission of others. Just because America thinks it's acting in self-defense isn't a license to do as it pleases. The purpose of the U.N. was to provide for the environment of negotiation needed to provide for security; America was unable to get what it wanted. Instead of starting a war, it should be asking itself why.

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Terrorists
(Anonymous)
2003-03-18 08:43 am UTC (link)

Well, given that no intelligence service has actually been able to produce any evidence of a link between Iraq and terrorism, why use it as a pretext for invasion? In fact, the British services went out of their way to publically refute Powell's speech which he said they had proven a link.


And imagine this.... you're a child. Your dad works in the World Trade Centre one day he doesn't come home. This is done by terrorists. This is a crime. No one will argue that. Now change your perspective. Your dad works at a power station. One day he doesn't come home because some people hunting for terrorists decided that the power station was a legitimate target. What's the difference to the child? Does the fact that we have already killed more Afghanistanis in our attempts to wipe out Al'Qaeda than died on 9/11 matter? Does the fact that we're going to kill (and already have killed) more Iraqis than died then? Of course not. They are all potential terrorists and therefore can be justified as casualties of war. How would you feel if your parents died because the US unilaterally decided that there might be some terrorists in their street and bombed it?


And as for the UN. Let us not forget 1976 when those fine and not-at-all-brutal people from Indonesia decided to invade East Timor. The US was happy to veto all the motions put in front of the security council to assist its puppet regime. In fact the US Ambassador to the UN at the time is rather proud of that in his autobiography.


And no I'm just too angry to type. I'm ashamed of my country. I'm ashamed of the whole damn human race. We deserve to wipe ourselves out.

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Re: Terrorists
[info]lightyear
2003-03-18 11:46 am UTC (link)
Nothing is sure. Either they've got information they don't want to give out, or it's lots of supposition and hearsay that amounts to a gut feeling. Or, alternately, there's no evidence whatsoever, and there's some other pretext.

I'm not concerned about the reason anymore. I'm too busy being concerned about the consequences.

You're right - casualties of war, the innocents who die because they're in the wrong place at the wrong time (or are sitting in a Chinese embassy; my i-Ching says that I should avoid embassies today) on this war on terrorism are ignored. This, IMO, is sort of the problem that we've been having all along - we're all so busy seeing our own side of things that nobody stopped to think whether or not everyone else would have something even remotely akin to our viewpoints on this.

To those innocents who die in our war on terrorism, we leave behind the same hatred as those despots who murder within their own borders (whether we're talking about Kurds in the Ba'ath-ruled Iran or Mugabe in Zimbabwe, or millions of Albanians from Kosovo during the Bosnia-Herzegovina-Serbo-Croatian-Kosovaran war that tore that area to bits) the oppressed quickly change to the oppressors in a vacuum of power following governmental collapse. It is this instability - instability which turned the KLA from resistance to revenge, assasinations in Serbia, the war-mongering of the warlords in Afghanistan and a bumper crop of opium on the way, it always comes out the same way: the oppressed become the oppressors in the power vacuum.

We can hope that this time it will be different, but I can't see any evidence so far that could explain why it would be different here and not in Afghanistan; the Kurds want their freedom and independence as much as anyone, and are separated by a religion from their neighbors in the south; fear is rife that they will form their own country - a patrol to prevent that fate was to have been the role of a US/Turkish alliance force in the North.

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